WN 4701 · DEN → MKE

departs 6:00 PM MT · arrives 9:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

MKE (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling467 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4701 · DEN → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?