Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4702
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 4702 · ELP → HOU
departs 6:25 AM MT · arrives 9:25 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 3%
Fri 10/2 3%
Sat 10/3 3%
Mon 10/5 4%
Tue 10/6 2%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at ELP that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from ELP are usually not late
Weather at each end
ELP (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.