WN 4710 · DEN → ICT

departs 11:32 AM MT · arrives 1:57 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −27 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ICT?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 767 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ICT that day

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

ICT (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling767 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.86 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4710 · DEN → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?