WN 4734 · DEN → SLC

departs 8:52 PM MT · arrives 10:16 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precip0.11 in

SLC (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4734 · DEN → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?