WN 4745 · DEN → ICT

departs 6:07 PM MT · arrives 8:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ICT?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ICT that day

↑ 6pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

ICT (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4745 · DEN → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?