Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4826
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 4826 · IND → DEN
departs 5:05 PM ET · arrives 5:50 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 25%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
−21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −21 pts in 24h
−21 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.