WN 484 · DEN → OKC

departs 3:48 PM MT · arrives 6:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts −39 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 484 · DEN → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?