WN 487 · MDW → ATL

took off 1:51 PM CT · expected to land 4:24 PM ET (scheduled 12:41 PM CT → 3:46 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
87%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ 12pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.87 in

ATL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 487 · MDW → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?