Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4918
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 4918 · CMH → MCO
departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 4:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 22%
Fri 10/2 18%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
2pm departures from CMH are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.