WN 492 · PWM → BNA

departs 6:20 PM ET · arrives 7:57 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

PWM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,033 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 492 · PWM → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?