WN 4938 · PHX → BUR

departs 8:42 AM MT · arrives 10:06 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ 8am departures from PHX are often late

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

↓ Arrivals into BUR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4938 · PHX → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?