WN 4960 · MDW → ICT

departs 8:27 PM CT · arrives 10:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ICT?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at ICT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ 8pm departures from MDW are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ICT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.08 in

ICT (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4960 · MDW → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?