WN 4967 · MCO → HOU

took off 11:22 AM ET · landed 12:17 PM CT (scheduled 10:08 AM ET → 11:35 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HOU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from MCO are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4967 · MCO → HOU

Odds over time

How late did it get to HOU?