Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4979 LANDED 11:00 AM MT, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 4979 · PHX → ELP

took off 9:12 AM MT · landed 11:00 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4979 · PHX → ELP

Odds over time