Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5064
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 5064 · AUS → ELP
departs 1:00 PM CT · arrives 1:35 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.14 in
ELP (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.