Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5076
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
WN 5076 · MDW → DAL
departs 4:35 PM CT · arrives 6:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 60% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 59% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.94 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.