Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5077
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 5077 · HOU → BNA
departs 10:20 AM CT · arrives 12:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at HOU that day
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.