Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5079
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 5079 · HOU → MDW
departs 4:05 PM CT · arrives 6:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.