WN 527 · BNA → HOU

departs 3:53 PM CT · arrives 5:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ 3pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 527 · BNA → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?