Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 53
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 53 · DAL → HOU
departs 7:30 PM CT · arrives 8:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.