Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 53
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 53 · HOU → CRP
departs 9:35 PM CT · arrives 10:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at HOU that day
↑
9pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
CRP (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.