WN 580 · BHM → BNA

took off 5:56 PM CT · landed 6:35 PM CT (scheduled 4:54 PM CT → 6:06 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BNA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from BHM are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BHM (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 580 · BHM → BNA

Odds over time

How late did it get to BNA?