WN 582 · BWI → PVD

departs 7:42 PM ET · arrives 9:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PVD?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PVD (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 582 · BWI → PVD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVD?