WN 585 · BNA → HOU

departs 7:21 PM CT · arrives 9:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 585 · BNA → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?