Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 596 LANDED 5:28 PM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 596 · HOU → MEM

took off 4:18 PM CT · landed 5:28 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 596 · HOU → MEM

Odds over time