Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 59
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 59 · MDW → DAL
departs 6:05 PM CT · arrives 8:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±4 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day
↑
6pm departures from MDW are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.56 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.