WN 626 · LAX → MCI

departs 3:39 PM PT · arrives 8:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 626 · LAX → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?