WN 644 · BNA → PIT

departs 10:13 AM CT · arrives 12:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from BNA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 644 · BNA → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?