WN 669 · TPA → PVD

took off 5:34 PM ET · expected to land 8:07 PM ET (scheduled 5:29 PM ET → 8:33 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PVD?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from TPA are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at PVD that day

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.28 in

PVD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 669 · TPA → PVD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVD?