WN 716 · LAS → BZN

departs 10:25 AM PT · arrives 1:27 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BZN?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BZN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 716 · LAS → BZN

Odds over time

How late will it get to BZN?