WN 738 · BOS → DAL

departs 4:25 PM ET · arrives 7:09 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 738 · BOS → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?