WN 753 · JAX → STL

departs 6:14 AM ET · arrives 7:31 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

3% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from JAX are usually not late

Weather at each end

JAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 753 · JAX → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?