Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 754 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30

WN 754 · DAL → SAT

took off 6:34 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 3:34 PM CT → 4:50 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ 3pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.22 in

SAT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 754 · DAL → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?