WN 781 · COS → DAL

departs 4:39 PM MT · arrives 7:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts38 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.65 in

DAL (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 781 · COS → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?