WN 781 · DEN → COS

departs 3:14 PM MT · arrives 4:01 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts −29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to COS?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 35 kt, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

COS (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 781 · DEN → COS

Odds over time

How late will it get to COS?