WN 786 · BUR → LAS

departs 7:59 AM PT · arrives 9:05 AM PT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from BUR are usually not late

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling11,714 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 786 · BUR → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?