WN 813 · HOU → SAT

departs 11:26 AM CT · arrives 12:26 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.34 in

SAT (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 813 · HOU → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?