WN 813 · SAT → PHX

took off 1:25 PM CT · landed 1:27 PM MT (scheduled 12:55 PM CT → 1:26 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 813 · SAT → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?