WN 874 · DEN → PDX

departs 1:24 PM MT · arrives 3:01 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 1pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.44 in

PDX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 874 · DEN → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?