WN 881 · SJD → HOU

departs 11:46 AM MST · arrives 4:21 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJD

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SJD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

HOU (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 881 · SJD → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?