Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 9002 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

WN 9002 · TUL → DEN

departs 9:36 PM CT · arrives 9:56 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ TUL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.14 in

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 9002 · TUL → DEN

Odds over time