WN 945 · MDW → PIT

departs 12:49 PM CT · arrives 3:13 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ 12pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.51 in

PIT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 945 · MDW → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?