WN 952 · BWI → HOU

took off 11:29 AM ET · expected to land 1:03 PM CT (scheduled 10:58 AM ET → 1:00 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HOU?

LIVE

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 952 · BWI → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?