WN 983 · DEN → ABQ

departs 2:46 PM MT · arrives 4:06 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±13 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 2pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ ABQ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.44 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.46 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 983 · DEN → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?