WN 995 · MCO → SJU

departs 1:34 PM ET · arrives 4:30 PM AT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

SJU (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 995 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?