YV 3989 · IND → IAH

departs 11:53 AM ET · arrives 1:39 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 3989 · IND → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?