YV 3993 · COS → IAH

departs 12:22 PM MT · arrives 3:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts38 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.74 in

IAH (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 3993 · COS → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?