Schedule: FAA flight plans.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 4038 LANDED 11:27 AM ET, ~39 MIN EARLY
Yesterday

YV 4038 · LGA → IAD

took off 10:41 AM ET · landed 11:27 AM ET (scheduled 10:40 AM ET → 12:12 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to IAD?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.