YV 4079 · IAH → COS

departs 10:07 AM CT · arrives 11:42 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±4 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to COS?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at COS that day

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↓ COS usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.31 in

COS (destination) Gusts38 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.70 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 4079 · IAH → COS

Odds over time

How late will it get to COS?