YV 6111 · IAH → SAV

departs 6:04 PM CT · arrives 9:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at SAV that day

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

SAV (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6111 · IAH → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?